News Analysis: War ruled out, Iran may attack U.S. interests in response to mounting sanctions: analysts
                 Source: Xinhua | 2019-05-09 16:40:33 | Editor: huaxia

Students shout slogan during a gathering in support of U.S. Wall Street demonstrators outside the Swiss embassy which handles U.S. interests in Tehran, Iran, on Oct. 22, 2011. (Xinhua File photo)

BEIRUT, May 9 (Xinhua) -- While Lebanese analysts rule out the possibility of Iran waging a war against the United States as a result of the American sanctions, they expressed different views on how Tehran and its proxy Hezbollah will be impacted after the end of waivers and how they will react to them.

"Iran does not have the interest nor the capabilities to wage a war today," Sami Nader, director of Levant Institute for Strategic Affairs in Lebanon, told Xinhua, adding that Iran may wage violent acts against American interests across the globe.

Likewise, Rafik Nasrallah, a political analyst, said Iran may attack Americans in Afghanistan or in Iraq in reaction to the U.S. sanctions.

Youssef Diab, another political analyst, told Xinhua that Iran cannot start a war now because this will exacerbate its deteriorating economic crisis which could possibly lead to an internal revolution that may remove the whole regime in the country.

"Iran will probably end up holding negotiations with the U.S. based on conditions different than those agreed upon when Tehran signed a nuclear agreement with the U.S. and other countries," Diab said.

Iran's President Hassan Rouhani declared on Wednesday that the country would stop complying with two of its commitments under the Iranian nuclear deal exactly a year after U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew entirely from the 2015 agreement.

Rouhani's announcement also came after the Trump administration exerted further pressure against Tehran by refusing to extend the 180-day waivers for Iranian oil export which was first put in place last November.

Washington said it would place sanctions on any country that continues to buy Iranian oil after May 2.

While some analysts believe that countries must commit to U.S. decision of not importing oil from Iran, others believe that the U.S. cannot force such a decision on countries like Turkey, for instance.

"Turkey will not probably commit to this decision and they may keep buying oil from Iran," Nasrallah said.

Nasrallah noted that it will be obvious within the coming few weeks if the U.S. will truly take measures against any Iranian oil importing companies in Turkey.

Former Lebanese Ambassador to Iran Adnan Mansour reiterated Nasrallah's comments, saying that the U.S. cannot pressure Turkey to stop buying Iranian oil because these two countries have a trade volume valued at 15 billion U.S. dollars while it is expected to double in the coming period.

Mansour added that Tehran will find a way to export its oil.

However, even if Iran works on smuggling its oil out, it will only generate 1 percent of the revenues that it gained when it exported its oil legally, said Diab.

Companies that imported oil from Iran will stop because they are afraid of being targeted by the U.S. sanctions, Diab said, adding that "France's Total, for instance, has officially left Iran."

"Even Russia will not sacrifice its interests by importing oil from Iran, especially with the increased rivalry between the two countries over imposing their influence in Syria," he noted.

Rouhani announced that Tehran will increase its non-oil exports while continuing to sell oil in a bid to face the U.S. sanctions.

Iran also threatened to consider closing the Strait of Hormuz, the only sea route in and out of the Gulf, carrying a fifth of the world's traded oil.

Some of the analysts interviewed by Xinhua ruled out the possibility of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz.

"Iran would be further damaging its economy if it closes this strategic waterway," Nasrallah said, adding that around 6,130 Iranian trade companies have businesses with companies in the United Arab Emirates.

However, Nader said that Iran may attempt to close Hormuz at least for some hours and days to create disturbances in the market.

Hezbollah, Iran's proxy in the region, will definitely be impacted by the U.S. sanctions against Iran, said Diab and Nader.

"Anything that affects Iran will surely have an impact on Hezbollah. When you cut Iran's resources, you are also depriving Hezbollah from resources," Nader said.

Diab reiterated Nader's comments by saying that Hezbollah Leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has previously asked Hezbollah's supporters to donate funds to help the party face tighter sanctions from Western countries.

"Hezbollah has a lot of supporters. When Hezbollah leader asked his supporters for donations, he collected big amounts," Nasrallah added.

Back to Top Close
Xinhuanet

News Analysis: War ruled out, Iran may attack U.S. interests in response to mounting sanctions: analysts

Source: Xinhua 2019-05-09 16:40:33

Students shout slogan during a gathering in support of U.S. Wall Street demonstrators outside the Swiss embassy which handles U.S. interests in Tehran, Iran, on Oct. 22, 2011. (Xinhua File photo)

BEIRUT, May 9 (Xinhua) -- While Lebanese analysts rule out the possibility of Iran waging a war against the United States as a result of the American sanctions, they expressed different views on how Tehran and its proxy Hezbollah will be impacted after the end of waivers and how they will react to them.

"Iran does not have the interest nor the capabilities to wage a war today," Sami Nader, director of Levant Institute for Strategic Affairs in Lebanon, told Xinhua, adding that Iran may wage violent acts against American interests across the globe.

Likewise, Rafik Nasrallah, a political analyst, said Iran may attack Americans in Afghanistan or in Iraq in reaction to the U.S. sanctions.

Youssef Diab, another political analyst, told Xinhua that Iran cannot start a war now because this will exacerbate its deteriorating economic crisis which could possibly lead to an internal revolution that may remove the whole regime in the country.

"Iran will probably end up holding negotiations with the U.S. based on conditions different than those agreed upon when Tehran signed a nuclear agreement with the U.S. and other countries," Diab said.

Iran's President Hassan Rouhani declared on Wednesday that the country would stop complying with two of its commitments under the Iranian nuclear deal exactly a year after U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew entirely from the 2015 agreement.

Rouhani's announcement also came after the Trump administration exerted further pressure against Tehran by refusing to extend the 180-day waivers for Iranian oil export which was first put in place last November.

Washington said it would place sanctions on any country that continues to buy Iranian oil after May 2.

While some analysts believe that countries must commit to U.S. decision of not importing oil from Iran, others believe that the U.S. cannot force such a decision on countries like Turkey, for instance.

"Turkey will not probably commit to this decision and they may keep buying oil from Iran," Nasrallah said.

Nasrallah noted that it will be obvious within the coming few weeks if the U.S. will truly take measures against any Iranian oil importing companies in Turkey.

Former Lebanese Ambassador to Iran Adnan Mansour reiterated Nasrallah's comments, saying that the U.S. cannot pressure Turkey to stop buying Iranian oil because these two countries have a trade volume valued at 15 billion U.S. dollars while it is expected to double in the coming period.

Mansour added that Tehran will find a way to export its oil.

However, even if Iran works on smuggling its oil out, it will only generate 1 percent of the revenues that it gained when it exported its oil legally, said Diab.

Companies that imported oil from Iran will stop because they are afraid of being targeted by the U.S. sanctions, Diab said, adding that "France's Total, for instance, has officially left Iran."

"Even Russia will not sacrifice its interests by importing oil from Iran, especially with the increased rivalry between the two countries over imposing their influence in Syria," he noted.

Rouhani announced that Tehran will increase its non-oil exports while continuing to sell oil in a bid to face the U.S. sanctions.

Iran also threatened to consider closing the Strait of Hormuz, the only sea route in and out of the Gulf, carrying a fifth of the world's traded oil.

Some of the analysts interviewed by Xinhua ruled out the possibility of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz.

"Iran would be further damaging its economy if it closes this strategic waterway," Nasrallah said, adding that around 6,130 Iranian trade companies have businesses with companies in the United Arab Emirates.

However, Nader said that Iran may attempt to close Hormuz at least for some hours and days to create disturbances in the market.

Hezbollah, Iran's proxy in the region, will definitely be impacted by the U.S. sanctions against Iran, said Diab and Nader.

"Anything that affects Iran will surely have an impact on Hezbollah. When you cut Iran's resources, you are also depriving Hezbollah from resources," Nader said.

Diab reiterated Nader's comments by saying that Hezbollah Leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has previously asked Hezbollah's supporters to donate funds to help the party face tighter sanctions from Western countries.

"Hezbollah has a lot of supporters. When Hezbollah leader asked his supporters for donations, he collected big amounts," Nasrallah added.

010020070750000000000000011100001380458701
快3app下载 大发app 凤凰彩票app 乐发iv游戏平台 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发彩票 乐发彩票app下载 大发彩票 乐发v官网 乐发lll 乐发lv入口 乐发iv首页 乐发ll登录 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发官网 乐发ii下载入口 乐发ll 乐发v平台 乐发v官网 乐发lll 乐发lv入口 乐发iv首页 乐发ll登录 乐发lv 乐发lll安装 乐发lv 乐发登录入口 乐发iv游戏平台 凤凰彩票登录 网信彩票 彩神 彩神彩票官方网站 彩神彩票官网首页 彩神官方app下载安卓版 凤凰彩票登录 彩神v3 凤凰彩票app下载 彩神官方app下载安卓版 网信快三 一分快3 快三彩票购彩平台 凤凰彩票官方 快3官网 网信彩票 快3app 网信彩票平台 百姓彩票平台 网信平台官网 快3app下载 百姓彩票 每日彩票 快3app 百姓彩票 每日彩票 快3app 百姓彩票平台 幸运5分彩快3 快3彩票app下载 百姓彩票网站网址 大发10分PK10 快3下载 网信彩票平台 网信平台官网 快3彩票官网app 凤凰彩票官方 彩神彩票 大发10分PK10 彩神v3 大发彩票app下载 百姓彩票网站网址 彩神购彩平台 每日彩票 官方正规快三彩票平台 彩神彩票购彩平台 百姓彩票 凤凰彩票购彩平台 凤凰彩票app下载 彩神官方app下载安卓版 网信快三 一分快3 快三彩票购彩平台 凤凰彩票官方 彩神彩票 大发10分PK10 彩神v3 凤凰彩票登录 乐发lv 乐发∨Il 百姓彩票网站网址 乐发彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 乐发lll安装 百姓彩票网站网址 凤凰彩票app下载 大发10分PK10 乐发2 乐发app 凤凰彩票 大发彩票app 乐发登录入口 乐发ll登录 乐发v官网 乐发官网 大发彩票app下载 凤凰彩票购彩平台 彩神彩票 官方正规快三彩票平台 一分快3 百姓彩票网站网址 凤凰彩票app下载 大发10分PK10 乐发2 乐发app 凤凰彩票 大发彩票app 乐发登录入口 乐发ll登录 乐发v官网 乐发官网 大发彩票app下载 凤凰彩票购彩平台 彩神彩票 官方正规快三彩票平台 1分快三平台 百姓彩票平台 凤凰彩票登录 幸运5分彩快3 彩神 乐发彩票 乐发 大发彩票 乐发iv游戏平台 乐发lv 乐发lll 乐发ii下载入口 乐发彩票官方网站 凤凰彩票官方网站 凤凰快3 彩神彩票官网首页 1分快三平台 百姓彩票平台 凤凰彩票登录 幸运5分彩快3 彩神 乐发彩票 乐发 大发彩票 乐发iv游戏平台 乐发lv 凤凰彩票app 乐发app 网信彩票平台 网信彩票平台 乐发iv游戏平台 凤凰彩票app 乐发lv 乐发彩票app下载 凤凰彩票app 网信彩票平台 乐发彩票app下载 乐发lv 乐发app 大发彩票安卓下载 大发彩票安卓下载 大发彩票 乐发彩票app下载 网信彩票平台 乐发iv游戏平台 彩神彩票 乐发彩票中心 极速快3彩票平台 人人快三凤凰 大发彩票app 大发彩票大全 乐发彩票 彩神彩票官方网站 乐发app 酷天堂彩票平台 凤凰彩票app下载 凤凰彩票大厅 凤凰彩票app 极速快3彩票平台 凤凰彩票 凤凰快3 乐发ll官网 乐发彩票中心 正规快三送彩金平台 凤凰彩票官方 乐发ll 乐发 网信彩票 彩神彩票 彩神彩票官方网站 大发彩票app 网信彩票用户 百姓快三 百姓彩票平台 乐发lv 乐发彩票app下载 彩信平台 网信彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 乐发∨Il 人人快三凤凰 凤凰彩票 凤凰快3 乐发ll官网 乐发彩票中心 正规快三送彩金平台 凤凰彩票官方 乐发ll 乐发 网信彩票 彩神彩票 彩神彩票官方网站 人人快三凤凰 乐发彩票 彩神彩票 乐发iv游戏平台 乐发彩票 大发彩票中心 凤凰彩票登录 凤凰彩票app 彩神彩票 大发彩票 乐发ll 大发彩票app 凤凰快3 凤凰彩票 彩神彩票 乐发ll 凤凰彩票 乐发lll 凤凰彩票大厅 网信彩票 彩神彩票 乐发lv 快盈彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 盈彩网投资平台 大发官网 一分时时彩 乐发lv 快3平台 凤凰快3 乐发ll 全民彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 百姓彩票 乐发彩票 大发彩票 极速快3 乐发app 大发官网 乐发lll 快3平台 凤凰快3 乐发ll 全民彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 百姓彩票 乐发彩票 大发彩票 极速快3 乐发app 彩神iv 大发彩票app 大小单双平台 一分pk10 乐发lv 快盈彩票 乐发官网 快彩彩票 百姓彩票 凤凰彩票大厅 网信彩票 乐发彩票中心 网信快3 乐发 彩神xl 三分快3 大发彩票 大发官网 乐发lll 快3平台 凤凰快3 乐发ll 全民彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 百姓彩票 乐发彩票 乐发彩票官方网站 大发彩票 乐发 分分快3 彩神vl 55世纪 55世纪 凤凰快3 乐发彩票 乐发lv welcome凤凰彩票 乐发ll 1分快3 彩神 彩神ll 1分快3官网 1分快3的平台 welcome凤凰彩票 三分快3 彩神x 彩神vl 凤凰彩票 彩神xl 大发彩票 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发官网 乐发ll 乐发lll 乐发lv 大发彩票app 大发彩票 乐发 乐发彩票 乐发彩票中心 凤凰快3 乐发彩票 彩神xl 腾讯快3 大发彩票 彩神xl 大发彩票 乐发彩票 大发彩票app 快3平台 乐发 1分快3 乐发彩票 彩神x 凤凰快3 彩神xl 彩吧助手 大发彩票app 快3平台 大发排列3 彩神iv 彩神vl 乐发IV 彩神x 一分pk10 大发排列3 乐发lv 快3彩票 乐发app下载 三分快3 快三平台助手 乐发彩票ll 彩神iv 乐发lll下载 盈彩网投资平台 乐发Ⅲ 一分pk10 凤凰彩票 乐发Vll 大发官网 乐发ll 大发彩票 乐发1 凤凰快3 彩神vl 乐发lx 百姓彩票 乐发VI 彩神x 乐发IV 极速快3 乐发 凤凰快3 网信快3 乐发lv 快3彩票 乐发app下载 三分快3 快三平台助手 乐发彩票ll 彩神iv 乐发lll下载 盈彩网投资平台 乐发Ⅲ 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发lv 乐发lv 乐发lv 凤凰彩票 大发彩票 大发彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发lv 凤凰彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发lv 乐发ll 凤凰彩票app下载 凤凰彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发lv 乐发ll 凤凰彩票app下载 凤凰彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发lv 彩神x 乐发 乐发ll 极速快3 乐发lv 乐发彩票中心 快3彩票 凤凰彩票大厅 彩神x 凤凰彩票app 分分快3 网信彩票 网盟彩票 凤凰彩票 百姓彩票 乐发 快彩彩票 乐发彩票 快3平台 百姓彩票 大小单双平台 凤凰快3 彩神xl 一分pk10 乐发lv 三分快3 大发彩票 乐发彩票 快3平台 百姓彩票 大小单双平台 凤凰快3 彩神xl 一分pk10 乐发lv 三分快3 大发彩票 极速快3 乐发ll 网信彩票 乐发lv 全民彩票 凤凰彩票app下载 快盈彩票 大发彩票app 大发官网 凤凰彩票 彩神iv 大发彩票 网信快3 凤凰彩票 百姓彩票